India is expected to increase its oil purchases from Russia
Oil imports from Russia are projected to rise by 6% in October, averaging roughly 1.7 million barrels per day. This comes despite the 25% US tariffs imposed on most Indian goods tied to its continued Russian oil purchases.
India, the world’s third-largest oil consumer and importer, has experienced a shift in energy sourcing since the escalation of the Ukraine conflict, with Russia becoming its top supplier since February 2022. Russian crude made up 34% of India’s oil imports in September.
Following additional Western sanctions in July, India affirmed it would continue buying Russian oil if the price stays below $47 per barrel. Indian refiners have stressed they will only purchase shipments transported on non-sanctioned vessels and avoid dealings with blacklisted entities.
Washington has imposed 50% tariffs on Indian goods, including a 25% penalty specifically linked to Russian oil imports. India has resisted scaling back, viewing the US measures as economic pressure.
Indian state-owned oil firms are also seeking supply flexibility and negotiating with Middle Eastern and African producers for long-term contracts in 2025. With energy demand expected to rise, experts project India could become the world’s largest oil consumer by 2050.
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